The Internet & Media Connection: Where is the Value?
by Sean Chercover
"Convergence." Without doubt, it is the catchword of NAB 2000.
Spoken by Internet entrepreneurs, it sounds like a mantra. Uttered
by traditional broadcasters, it sometimes sounds like a curse. Many
of the more than 1,000 broadcasters who attended this Super Session
came with the attitude of participants in a nervous courtship. As
the session began, exactly who was doing the courting was
unclear.
Keynote #1 — Steve Canepa, IBM
Steve Canepa is IBM's Vice
President of Marketing, Global Media and Entertainment. He has
worked both sides of the street. He believes the digital world is
here now, and insists that those who resist convergence will soon be
road-kill.
"Traditionally, the customer was at the end of a long
distribution infrastructure. In the old model, newspapers were
written and edited...CDs were pressed with a pre-selected number of
songs in a pre-selected order, and then distributed through a
physical infrastructure to the consumer. In the Web world, consumers
can, and will, make these editorial and packaging decisions for
themselves."
This evolution can be seen, according to Canepa, as a move from a
push model, where content was prepared and sent to market, to a pull
model, "…where consumers will reach into your infrastructure and
take what they want, when and where they want it…now, the consumer
is at the front end."
Traditional media is based on a one-to-many business model.
Everyone gets the same product, in the same format, over the same
distribution channel. In contrast, the interactivity of the Internet
allows a one-to-one model. Each user can select, or program, the
content that he or she receives. But with convergence, Canepa tells
us that the market will evolve to a many-to-many model. "Many
versions of your content being distributed over many distribution
networks (traditional broadcast; broadband; wireless; satellite) in
many formats to many target devices (PCs; set-top boxes; PDAs;
cellular phones and devices that have yet to be invented)."
Although we will see multiple networks serving multiple devices,
Canepa insists that it is the content that will tie everything
together. And content re-purposing is the key to profitability in
the digital world. In the traditional model, it works like this:
Let's say you have four documentaries about children living in four
different countries. You notice that in each documentary, there are
scenes of children playing sports. So you cull that footage and
create a program about children and sports. In the digital world, he
says, you go many steps further.
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Mortal Kombat — Content Re-purposed as:
- Arcade Games
- Home Video Games
- Interactive Internet Games
- Comics
- Feature Films
- Cartoons
|
Canepa calls it the "Digital Studio Model". As an example, he
cites the popular video game, Mortal Kombat. The content of this
game has been re-purposed into many formats and delivered over many
distribution channels. In essence, the makers of this game have
spawned a studio, with no back lots, and minimal expense.
"Your goal should be to create a content factory…In the digital
world, brand is not about specific products, it is about
affinities," says Canepa. "If you think of customers as buyers,
you're in a lot of trouble…because customers are really a source of
information; a way to target your offerings and leverage your
business models. And, unlike traditional broadcasting, the
interactivity of the digital world gives you the information you
need about your customers."
The Companies' Views
James Moroney, of Dallas, TX, is the president of Belo Interactive, which creates Web
sites for television stations and newspapers. In the following panel
discussion, he supports Steve Canepa's views. "The most intense
brand-loyalty in television is between viewers and their favorite
news anchors. But the TV station, existing in a one-way medium,
learns nothing about its customers." Moroney uses this example to
explain the value of the Internet to his clients. On the Web, user
personalization allows the station to get this information. "The
station's Web site offers an opt-in for permission-based marketing;
e-mail reminders that push viewers back to programming on the
station that is targeted to the viewer's interests."
While valuable as a marketing tool for the local station, the Web
site must be much more, insists Moroney. The station's site must
offer original content that goes beyond the broadcast. He suggests
expanding the news coverage with background information, reporters'
notes and video that did not make it to air. Recently, MySanAntonio.com, a site managed
by Belo Interactive, offered a live Webcast of an editorial board
meeting, to give customers an inside view of how journalists make
their decisions. "In the end, only one or two local news and
information sites per market will survive. If you see your site as a
side-business, you're pouring money down a rat-hole and you'll never
get it back…you won't be one of the one or two left."
Ross Levinsohn, vice president & executive producer at Alta Vista, says that the same
limited thinking has hampered many Internet sites. "Had the original
owner of Alta Vista seen it as a core company, rather than a
side-business, we could've been Yahoo!" While strong local
television station Web sites can survive as local portals, Levinsohn
suggests that the networks will have to merge with strong Internet
concerns. "AOL and TimeWarner did the right thing," he says, "in the
future, we'll see ABC and CBS doing something similar, from a
different angle...Alta Vista knows that, in three years or so, we're
likely to merge with a traditional broadcast network." The Internet
is about frequency and distribution, he says, but you must have the
content. That's why the marriage makes sense. "In the end, I believe
there will be only seven or eight ubur-portals," says Levinsohn,
"the rest will be vertically integrated, or cease to exist."
For Discovery Communications
Senior Vice President Jeff Craig, the issue of convergence is
centered on giving the consumer a richer, deeper experience. "Forty
percent of American homes have a TV and a computer in the same room.
Consumers are watching TV and simultaneously using complimentary
content on the Web…the whole idea of, 'If you like the actor's hat,
click on it and you can buy it,' is simplistic and shortsighted.
That's not going to bring them back." Craig uses Discovery's site,
instead, to expand content and give the user a "travel experience."
Selling products on the site is potentially a good
revenue-generator, he says, but only in the context of a rewarding
experience.
Keynote #2 - Jerry Yang, Yahoo!
When Jerry Yang takes the stage, you can hear a pin drop.
Co-creator and Chief Yahoo of the world's largest Internet site, he
is a giant in the Web world. Yahoo! can be found in 22 countries
and accessed in twelve languages. It draws more than 600 million
page-views per day.
"Convergence," says Yang, "is an overloaded term. To me, it is
simply the blurring of communications, content, commerce, computers
and consumer electronics. The Internet has caused this blurring." He
explains that there are three factors driving convergence:
- Digitalization — the move from analog to digital allows media
to be distributed through digital channels, to a wide variety of
devices.
- Bandwidth — cheaper and higher bandwidth will make the
potential of convergence a reality for the mass market.
- Mobility — people now expect to have instant access to
information, wherever they are.
The value of convergence, says Yang, is that it offers better
mechanisms for distribution of content, unlimited channels and
access, more choice for consumers, and new partnerships for industry
players. "The Internet is successful because it is horizontal. It is
open to innovation, more so than any other industry. This must be
maintained."
Yang breaks the post-convergence Internet into four categories:
Devices:
| Set-Top Boxes |
CDs & DVDs |
Receivers |
Phones |
Cellular |
Home
Appliances |
Distribution:
| Cable |
Wireless |
DSL & ISPs |
Satellite |
Terrestrial |
Integrators:
| Communications &
Community |
Transactions |
Personalization |
Programming |
Content:
| Music |
TV & Movies |
Games |
On Demand |
Pay Per View |
New Broadband
Content |
It is the Integrator, according to Yang, who adds the most value
to the equation. As he sees it, the role of the Integrator is to
provide information centralized on a network. The information is
available to all devices, independent of distribution channel, and
on all distribution channels, independent of device. Of course,
Yahoo is an Integrator.
Of the 145 million Yahoo users, 65 million have broadband access.
Currently, there are over 11 million total hours of audio and video
programming available on the site. For broadband users, Yahoo
provides a news Webcast with integrated text windows that change in
sync with audio and video, live viewer polls, a personalized window,
and advertising that is both Webcast and interactive. Yang insists
that broadband is already changing how people consume information
and entertainment. Yahoo recently acquired MyQuest and NetPhone,
because, Yang says, "Voice on the Internet is coming soon…all phone
calls will be local…chat will really be chat." Yang says he is most
excited by, "the removal of geographic and time boundaries. The word
broadcast is quickly being re-defined."
The Analysts' Views
Tom Wolzien comes from a television background at NBC, and is now
senior media analyst at Sanford C. Bernstein &
Company. He seems appalled by Jerry Yang's presentation.
"Content doesn't just appear! Yahoo is trying to commodotize
content, but content is actually the only factor that can be used to
differentiate your brand. Tribune gets it, as a multimedia
company."
Victor Miller, managing director of Bear, Sterns & Company,
agrees. "Tribune does get it. And, in the end, those who have
content win…those who don't may have to do something else, like
datacasting."
Scott Cleland, founder & managing director of Legg Mason Precursor Group,
adds that, by content, they mean quality, distinctive, exclusive
content. "AOL/TimeWarner wins in the end, because they have the
audience and the content." Cleland suggests that by controlling both
ends of the distribution chain (TimeWarner for content and AOL for
audience) they can squeeze to the middle and eventually dominate
distribution, as well.
Wolzien suggests that 18 months down the line, we will see the
fruits of the AOL/TW merger and the vertical integration of Tribune.
At that time, the big networks will face increased pressure to
partner with a major Internet presence. "Yahoo doesn't think it
needs content. Alta Vista is a likely candidate; they get it. Most
Internet companies still don't, and content is being ignored. In the
meantime, the NAB and the big broadcasters have to get their act
together. The broadcasters are asleep about getting a backchannel.
They should be down at the FCC, banging their fists on the table,
demanding some bandwidth for a backchannel."
With such an intense reaction from the wizards of Wall Street,
maybe it's time to sell my Yahoo! stock. I wonder if Alta Vista has
gone public...
Sean Chercover chercover@earthlink.net is
a freelance writer and nonlinear editor. He doesn't really own
Yahoo! stock. |